Betting Lines
| Spread | WCU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | WCU -110 ETSU +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WCU +2 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | WCU -3.3 (-1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.2 (-6.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WCU -3.4 (-1.4) | 141.7 (-7.7) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WCU -2.1 (-0.1) | 140.7 (-6.7) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WCU -2.5 (-0.5) | 142.5 (-8.5) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WCU -2.8 (-0.8) | 142.8 (-8.8) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | ETSU 69 – 67 WCU |
| Jan 30, 2026 | WCU 90 – 88 ETSU |
| Jan 14, 2026 | WCU 72 – 68 ETSU |
| Feb 12, 2025 | WCU 76 – 67 ETSU |
| Jan 23, 2025 | ETSU 85 – 58 WCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WCU | ETSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 8-10 |
| Home | 9-5 | 7-9 |
| Away | 6-9 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 68.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 69.5 |
| Massey | -4.8 (#251) | -4.4 (#245) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.75 (#249) | -1.56 (#309) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.95 (#250) | -1.58 (#286) |
| RPI | 0.466 (#249) | 0.428 (#312) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WCU | ETSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
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