Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSB -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | UCSB -154 UCI +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCSB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +11 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | UCSB -2.3 (-13.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.2 (-9.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSB -1.6 (-12.6) | 141.3 (-12.3) | 59% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSB -1.7 (-12.7) | 137.1 (-8.1) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSB -2.1 (-13.1) | 140.9 (-11.9) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UCSB -2.2 (-13.2) | 141.8 (-12.8) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | UCI 64 – 60 UCSB |
| Feb 8, 2026 | UCSB 84 – 79 UCI |
| Mar 9, 2025 | UCI 97 – 88 UCSB |
| Feb 14, 2025 | UCI 62 – 60 UCSB |
| Feb 23, 2024 | UCI 81 – 69 UCSB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCSB | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 15-5 |
| Home | 12-3 | 11-4 |
| Away | 10-4 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.3 | 72.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.0 | 68.1 |
| Massey | 4.6 (#101) | 6.0 (#89) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.27 (#72) | 0.68 (#112) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.49 (#79) | 0.98 (#106) |
| RPI | 0.551 (#87) | 0.535 (#119) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCSB | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.9% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 38.0% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 46.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
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