Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | CSU +120 BOIS -154 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +2 | 158 | Lost |
| Massey | BOIS -4.5 (+2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.4 (+20.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -4.4 (+2.4) | 137.1 (+20.9) | 33% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -3.0 (+1.0) | 136.8 (+21.2) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BOIS -4.9 (+2.9) | 136.8 (+21.2) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -4.5 (+2.5) | 137.0 (+21.0) | 32% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | BOIS 78 – 67 CSU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | BOIS 79 – 73 CSU |
| Mar 15, 2025 | CSU 69 – 56 BOIS |
| Mar 8, 2025 | CSU 83 – 73 BOIS |
| Jan 23, 2025 | CSU 75 – 72 BOIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSU | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 24-10 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 13-5 |
| Home | 9-7 | 14-1 |
| Away | 4-8 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.1 | 71.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 65.0 |
| Massey | 3.9 (#113) | 12.0 (#28) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.19 (#153) | 2.04 (#34) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.25 (#148) | 2.68 (#27) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#150) | 0.598 (#28) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSU | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.1% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 30.5 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 5.5 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.53 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.9% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 18.0% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 45.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 77.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 18.5% |
Game Analysis
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