Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | COLG -800 ARMY +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLG +7 | 179 | Won |
| Massey | COLG -11.9 (-4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.6 (+27.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -11.8 (-4.8) | 147.5 (+31.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -11.9 (-4.9) | 144.1 (+34.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -11.8 (-4.8) | 146.7 (+32.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -10.9 (-3.9) | 148.1 (+30.9) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | COLG 69 – 55 ARMY |
| Jan 3, 2026 | COLG 76 – 69 ARMY |
| Mar 7, 2025 | COLG 84 – 55 ARMY |
| Jan 29, 2025 | ARMY 84 – 72 COLG |
| Jan 3, 2025 | COLG 71 – 59 ARMY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLG | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-9 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 17-1 | 10-8 |
| Home | 14-2 | 10-5 |
| Away | 11-4 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.6 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 71.0 |
| Massey | 4.1 (#108) | -4.1 (#238) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.41 (#137) | -1.01 (#272) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.78 (#112) | -1.17 (#261) |
| RPI | 0.536 (#116) | 0.457 (#265) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLG | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.7% | 47.4% |
| 3PT% | 39.8% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.66 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.6% | 54.0% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 18.6% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 76.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.9% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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