Betting Lines
| Spread | PRES -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | PRES -110 HPU +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRES win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HPU +2 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | PRES -2.0 (-4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.8 (-2.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRES -0.8 (-2.8) | 140.2 (-0.2) | 48% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRES -0.4 (-2.4) | 139.5 (+0.5) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HPU -0.1 (-1.9) | 139.7 (+0.3) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HPU -0.1 (-1.9) | 140.7 (-0.7) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | HPU 79 – 73 PRES |
| Jan 30, 2026 | HPU 84 – 81 PRES |
| Feb 1, 2025 | HPU 84 – 72 PRES |
| Jan 19, 2025 | HPU 77 – 66 PRES |
| Feb 4, 2024 | HPU 78 – 68 PRES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRES | HPU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-27 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 1-17 | 6-12 |
| Home | 5-9 | 10-5 |
| Away | 0-15 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L18 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.8 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.4 | 77.2 |
| Massey | -10.1 (#335) | -8.5 (#316) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.00 (#360) | -1.22 (#289) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.20 (#357) | -1.68 (#294) |
| RPI | 0.347 (#362) | 0.435 (#299) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRES | HPU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.