Betting Lines
| Spread | UVM -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | UVM -800 UNH +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVM +29 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | UVM -11.9 (+17.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.4 (+2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVM -9.9 (+19.1) | 135.3 (-4.3) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVM -12.6 (+16.4) | 133.3 (-2.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVM -11.8 (+17.2) | 135.6 (-4.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVM -10.6 (+18.4) | 136.1 (-5.1) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | UVM 80 – 57 UNH |
| Jan 3, 2026 | UVM 80 – 61 UNH |
| Mar 8, 2025 | UVM 64 – 57 UNH |
| Feb 14, 2025 | UVM 79 – 59 UNH |
| Jan 4, 2025 | UVM 60 – 40 UNH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVM | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 15-15 |
| Conference | 14-2 | 9-7 |
| Home | 13-1 | 11-4 |
| Away | 9-6 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 64.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.1 | 68.0 |
| Massey | 2.5 (#127) | -5.7 (#270) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.50 (#128) | -0.98 (#271) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#142) | -1.22 (#266) |
| RPI | 0.562 (#67) | 0.460 (#260) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVM | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 38.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 6.3 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 45.6% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 19.5% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 19.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 76.7% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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