Betting Lines
| Spread | OAK -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | OAK -1200 IUIN +850 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OAK +4 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | OAK -16.0 (-12.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.4 (+17.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OAK -12.7 (-8.7) | 147.3 (+18.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OAK -12.2 (-8.2) | 150.2 (+15.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OAK -12.1 (-8.1) | 148.7 (+17.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OAK -12.6 (-8.6) | 148.1 (+17.9) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | OAK 86 – 74 IUIN |
| Jan 22, 2026 | IUIN 103 – 85 OAK |
| Feb 12, 2025 | OAK 82 – 67 IUIN |
| Jan 16, 2025 | OAK 72 – 59 IUIN |
| Feb 17, 2024 | OAK 107 – 59 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OAK | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 5-27 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 2-18 |
| Home | 8-6 | 4-9 |
| Away | 5-10 | 0-15 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.9 | 78.6 |
| Massey | -5.4 (#265) | -17.8 (#361) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.72 (#247) | -3.54 (#361) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.01 (#253) | -4.08 (#361) |
| RPI | 0.479 (#221) | 0.346 (#363) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OAK | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 28.4% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 0.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 23.3% |
| ORB% | 24.7% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 56.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 67.0% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.7% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
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