So let the words of our mouth and the meditation of our heart be acceptable in thy sight, O Fari! "By the RIvers of Babylon"-The Melodians
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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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42–16 on winners spread MAE 8.8 58 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Virginia @ Boston College -9.7 124.5 19% 48–63 ✗
Bucknell @ Lehigh +4.0 140.3 64% 62–78 ✓
Temple @ Cincinnati +9.2 142.1 80% 83–88 ✓
South Florida @ UCF +12.2 139.8 87% 82–75 ✗
Colgate @ Lafayette -5.5 132.1 31% 73–69 ✓
Holy Cross @ Loyola Maryland +3.2 134.5 62% 68–90 ✓
Bradley @ Valparaiso -11.2 134.5 15% 76–66 ✓
Syracuse @ Clemson +6.0 143.7 71% 73–91 ✓
Maine @ New Hampshire +2.7 129.1 60% 62–74 ✓
Bryant @ NJIT -5.8 152.8 30% 79–78 ✓
Binghamton @ Vermont +13.8 137.7 89% 70–81 ✓
Navy @ American University -0.6 128.1 48% 70–54 ✓
Minnesota @ Maryland +18.9 127.7 96% 70–88 ✓
Vanderbilt @ LSU -0.7 138.6 47% 77–84 ✗
Kentucky @ Florida +2.0 141.1 57% 82–74 ✗
St. Bonaventure @ Davidson +4.8 133.4 67% 61–74 ✓
George Washington @ Rhode Island +3.0 147.5 61% 89–80 ✗
Duquesne @ La Salle -3.5 143.3 38% 91–74 ✓
Dayton @ Massachusetts -5.2 132.9 32% 72–54 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ Presbyterian -1.2 130.7 46% 59–57 ✓
Radford @ High Point -4.6 143.8 34% 64–69 ✗
Campbell @ Winthrop +3.1 142.4 61% 93–95 ✓
Samford @ Chattanooga -0.0 152.2 50% 75–70 ✓
The Citadel @ East Tennessee State +8.0 136.5 77% 70–78 ✓
Mercer @ Furman +13.7 143.6 89% 67–70 ✓
Western Carolina @ UNC Greensboro +11.9 136.4 86% 52–71 ✓
Wofford @ VMI -6.5 146.9 28% 83–87 ✗
Southern Miss @ Old Dominion -1.7 136.0 44% 64–69 ✗
Marshall @ James Madison +2.3 158.2 58% 92–83 ✗
Coastal Carolina @ Georgia Southern +8.3 141.2 77% 68–76 ✓
App State @ Georgia State -0.0 126.4 50% 78–52 ✓
Liberty @ Queens University -8.7 144.4 22% 85–77 ✓
Austin Peay @ Stetson +12.3 139.8 87% 51–76 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ North Florida -0.6 158.4 48% 64–77 ✗
Lipscomb @ Florida Gulf Coast +4.1 143.9 65% 73–64 ✗
Kennesaw State @ North Alabama -1.6 153.7 44% 79–66 ✓
Indiana State @ Belmont +0.5 154.4 52% 88–89 ✓
Troy @ UL Monroe -5.6 133.3 31% 82–78 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Southern Illinois +7.1 125.9 74% 63–86 ✓
UIC @ Evansville -1.4 138.9 45% 82–76 ✓
Illinois State @ Drake +16.2 137.9 93% 51–82 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ Abilene Christian +0.2 150.0 51% 91–87 ✗
South Alabama @ Texas State -2.7 128.9 40% 76–67 ✓
Jacksonville State @ Central Arkansas -0.3 147.7 49% 101–71 ✓
Butler @ DePaul +0.5 138.2 52% 59–58 ✗
Arkansas State @ Louisiana +15.6 139.3 92% 74–85 ✓
Morehead State @ Eastern Illinois -2.0 129.6 43% 69–63 ✓
Tulane @ Houston +20.2 144.6 97% 59–89 ✓
Alabama @ South Carolina -23.3 149.4 2% 78–76 ✓
Wake Forest @ NC State +7.9 158.1 76% 74–90 ✓
North Carolina @ Notre Dame -7.0 149.2 26% 63–59 ✓
St. John's @ Georgetown -3.2 158.1 39% 79–70 ✓
Iowa @ Wisconsin -0.2 143.6 49% 52–64 ✗
Ole Miss @ Auburn +12.9 132.5 88% 74–78 ✓
Fordham @ Loyola Chicago -2.9 139.5 39% 71–69 ✓
New Mexico @ Boise State +6.0 146.1 71% 77–82 ✓
Western Illinois @ North Dakota +3.5 143.6 63% 81–70 ✗
Penn State @ Ohio State +3.9 146.8 64% 75–71 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.