Anger is an energy. "Rise" - Public Image Ltd.
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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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37–22 on winners spread MAE 9.2 59 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Boston University @ Marist +1.4 126.2 55% 72–70 ✗
Marshall @ Robert Morris -6.6 138.0 27% 69–60 ✓
Wright State @ Western Kentucky +12.4 150.8 87% 60–64 ✓
Southern Utah @ Cal State Fullerton -5.6 153.8 31% 67–60 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Mount St. Mary's +12.7 133.9 88% 34–51 ✓
Nevada @ Oregon +4.1 132.6 65% 65–78 ✓
Mercer @ Florida Gulf Coast +12.5 142.6 87% 62–67 ✓
Monmouth @ Princeton +26.6 141.7 99% 54–91 ✓
Indiana @ Arizona -5.1 164.4 32% 75–89 ✗
UT Arlington @ Texas State +3.6 122.1 63% 65–71 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ Clemson +9.7 138.9 81% 76–58 ✗
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Missouri State +7.4 121.0 75% 65–61 ✗
Samford @ Louisiana +1.0 164.4 54% 58–75 ✓
Alcorn State @ Southern Illinois +12.9 129.4 88% 68–74 ✓
Kansas City @ Green Bay -6.3 122.6 28% 64–70 ✗
Montana @ North Dakota State -0.3 134.0 49% 82–75 ✓
St. Thomas @ Idaho State +0.7 140.0 53% 76–70 ✗
Gardner-Webb @ Old Dominion +5.5 124.6 69% 43–44 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Houston Christian -3.4 165.6 38% 95–82 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ Pepperdine +8.0 142.2 77% 67–64 ✗
Boise State @ Saint Louis +1.5 141.3 55% 57–52 ✗
Central Arkansas @ Oral Roberts +20.6 160.5 97% 78–111 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ Portland +24.1 157.1 99% 61–100 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ Wyoming -4.5 143.8 34% 65–92 ✗
Creighton @ BYU -14.6 150.1 9% 80–83 ✗
TCU @ SMU -10.5 127.4 17% 83–75 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Cal State Northridge +6.6 146.0 73% 70–63 ✗
Portland State @ Cal Poly -0.9 147.4 47% 49–72 ✗
California Baptist @ San Diego +2.6 141.2 59% 76–73 ✗
Loyola Marymount @ Utah State +7.4 161.8 75% 67–79 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ Iona +9.5 135.8 81% 57–72 ✓
Tarleton State @ UCF +9.1 131.4 80% 49–75 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Niagara +11.6 143.5 85% 60–67 ✓
Maine @ Merrimack -8.9 132.0 21% 50–47 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Fordham +15.2 132.7 92% 77–90 ✓
Bryant @ Manhattan -7.5 153.2 25% 104–97 ✓
Jackson State @ Akron +13.6 139.8 89% 72–85 ✓
Ohio @ Youngstown State +12.0 154.3 86% 81–79 ✗
Siena @ Delaware +3.2 142.2 62% 64–75 ✓
Coppin State @ East Carolina +7.9 162.8 76% 75–84 ✓
NJIT @ Fairleigh Dickinson +8.9 147.9 79% 71–73 ✓
East Tennessee State @ Morehead State +3.2 128.8 61% 57–61 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Northwestern +12.0 121.8 86% 51–61 ✓
Oklahoma State @ Virginia Tech -1.0 138.0 46% 65–70 ✗
Chicago State @ UT Martin +7.3 159.6 75% 74–75 ✓
Incarnate Word @ Kansas State +21.8 130.9 98% 50–98 ✓
Lipscomb @ Tennessee State +0.9 137.4 53% 85–90 ✓
Indiana State @ Southern Indiana -0.5 156.0 48% 85–88 ✗
New Mexico State @ Duquesne +4.8 151.6 67% 73–60 ✗
Bowling Green @ Hampton +0.4 146.6 52% 86–72 ✗
Navy @ Towson +6.2 136.3 71% 71–69 ✗
Marquette @ Notre Dame -3.4 151.2 38% 79–64 ✓
Tennessee @ Maryland -8.2 125.9 23% 56–53 ✓
UC Riverside @ Idaho +2.0 137.7 57% 76–74 ✗
McNeese @ Iowa State +25.3 119.0 99% 40–77 ✓
Oregon State @ Texas A&M +10.8 138.0 84% 54–72 ✓
Presbyterian @ South Carolina +5.4 120.2 69% 57–68 ✓
Wisconsin @ Iowa +10.2 137.7 82% 78–75 ✗
Seton Hall @ Rutgers +15.0 123.9 91% 45–43 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.