Betting Lines
| Spread | NIA -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | NIA -175 EMU +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NIA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NIA +7 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | NIA -13.3 (-6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.9 (-17.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NIA -10.1 (-3.1) | 142.3 (-15.3) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NIA -10.7 (-3.7) | 138.5 (-11.5) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NIA -10.3 (-3.3) | 144.4 (-17.4) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NIA -10.9 (-3.9) | 143.6 (-16.6) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 9, 2021 | EMU 60 – 58 NIA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NIA | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-15 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 5-13 |
| Home | 9-4 | 6-7 |
| Away | 4-10 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.2 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 81.3 |
| Massey | 0.2 (#180) | -7.8 (#303) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.19 (#90) | -2.43 (#334) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.11 (#112) | -2.70 (#324) |
| RPI | 0.606 (#42) | 0.378 (#341) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NIA | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 58.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 66.1% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 29.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.