Virginia Tech
Hokies
70
–
65
FINAL
Neutral
Basketball Hall of Fame Invitational
Oklahoma State
Cowboys
Betting Lines
| Spread | VT -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | VT -110 OKST +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VT +5 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | OKST -1.5 (+6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.4 (-1.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OKST -0.5 (+5.5) | 137.2 (-2.2) | 51% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OKST -0.7 (+5.7) | 134.3 (+0.7) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OKST -0.8 (+5.8) | 135.6 (-0.6) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OKST -0.2 (+5.2) | 136.9 (-1.9) | 45% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VT | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 20-16 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 8-10 |
| Home | 13-4 | 12-6 |
| Away | 2-10 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 65.8 |
| Massey | 8.7 (#53) | 10.3 (#41) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.78 (#14) | 0.80 (#113) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.79 (#14) | 1.89 (#80) |
| RPI | 0.624 (#26) | 0.550 (#101) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VT | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.6% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.70 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.3% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 13.1% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 37.8% |
| FT Rate | 16.0% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 42.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.3% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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