Betting Lines
| Spread | KSU -26.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KSU +48 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | KSU -22.5 (+25.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.5 (+16.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KSU -18.4 (+29.6) | 135.3 (+12.7) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KSU -21.0 (+27.0) | 134.7 (+13.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KSU -17.5 (+30.5) | 137.5 (+10.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KSU -18.8 (+29.2) | 135.4 (+12.6) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KSU | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-10 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 6-12 |
| Home | 16-1 | 7-7 |
| Away | 4-7 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 75.1 |
| Massey | 8.5 (#57) | -8.6 (#316) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.79 (#13) | -1.02 (#269) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.27 (#29) | -1.99 (#301) |
| RPI | 0.632 (#18) | 0.437 (#271) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KSU | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 37.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 28.5% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 42.1% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 16.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.3% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.