Betting Lines
| Spread | PORT -17.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | PORT -1600 NOLA +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PORT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PORT +39 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | PORT -23.0 (+16.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.6 (+4.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PORT -18.7 (+20.3) | 151.6 (+9.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PORT -16.7 (+22.3) | 153.1 (+7.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PORT -17.3 (+21.7) | 154.4 (+6.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PORT -19.0 (+20.0) | 154.1 (+6.9) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 20, 2022 | PORT 94 – 73 NOLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PORT | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 7-11 |
| Home | 10-6 | 6-9 |
| Away | 2-10 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.7 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 80.1 |
| Massey | 4.6 (#94) | -13.1 (#351) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.06 (#168) | -2.78 (#343) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.55 (#143) | -3.85 (#344) |
| RPI | 0.484 (#205) | 0.425 (#287) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PORT | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 38.3% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 30.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.1% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 26.5% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 31.1% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 56.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 30.7% |
Game Analysis
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