Betting Lines
| Spread | PORT -9.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | PORT -420 NOLA +335 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PORT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PORT +21 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | PORT -7.0 (+14.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.8 (+17.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PORT -7.3 (+13.7) | 153.2 (+13.8) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PORT -6.1 (+14.9) | 152.3 (+14.7) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PORT -6.3 (+14.7) | 152.4 (+14.6) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PORT -6.8 (+14.2) | 153.4 (+13.6) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 11, 2022 | PORT 100 – 61 NOLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PORT | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 10-4 |
| Home | 11-4 | 12-2 |
| Away | 6-9 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.0 | 76.7 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#191) | -5.4 (#259) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.15 (#156) | -1.06 (#262) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.12 (#168) | -1.22 (#261) |
| RPI | 0.496 (#182) | 0.469 (#227) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PORT | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 24.0% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 31.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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