Betting Lines
| Spread | USD -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | USD -167 CBU +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CBU +3 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | USD -2.7 (-5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.9 (+6.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USD -1.5 (-4.5) | 138.0 (+11.0) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USD -2.0 (-5.0) | 142.7 (+6.3) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | USD -1.9 (-4.9) | 143.0 (+6.0) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USD -2.3 (-5.3) | 141.3 (+7.7) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 25, 2025 | CBU 76 – 61 USD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USD | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 8-10 |
| Home | 8-9 | 13-5 |
| Away | 3-8 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 66.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.6 | 65.9 |
| Massey | -3.5 (#233) | -0.9 (#197) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.54 (#231) | -0.42 (#215) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.32 (#203) | -0.36 (#206) |
| RPI | 0.457 (#243) | 0.429 (#281) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USD | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.5% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 38.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.9% | 45.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 77.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 17.3% |
Game Analysis
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