Betting Lines
| Spread | CBU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | CBU -395 USD +310 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CBU +15 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | CBU -10.1 (+4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.8 (-3.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CBU -7.6 (+7.4) | 135.5 (+1.5) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CBU -8.4 (+6.6) | 136.8 (+0.2) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CBU -7.2 (+7.8) | 136.1 (+0.9) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CBU -6.9 (+8.1) | 137.5 (-0.5) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 11, 2022 | CBU 76 – 73 USD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CBU | USD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-9 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 5-13 |
| Home | 15-0 | 9-8 |
| Away | 7-8 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 72.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 78.8 |
| Massey | 4.3 (#108) | -5.7 (#263) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.16 (#38) | -0.87 (#254) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.36 (#38) | -0.91 (#232) |
| RPI | 0.548 (#117) | 0.395 (#313) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CBU | USD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 45.0 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 16.8 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 43.5% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.8% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 77.9% | 58.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.7% | 28.6% |
Game Analysis
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