Betting Lines
| Spread | FOR -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | FOR -1200 CCSU +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FOR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FOR +13 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | FOR -15.1 (-2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.1 (+33.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FOR -12.2 (+0.8) | 138.3 (+28.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FOR -12.1 (+0.9) | 137.5 (+29.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FOR -13.1 (-0.1) | 138.0 (+29.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FOR -11.3 (+1.7) | 138.9 (+28.1) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2023 | CCSU 82 – 80 FOR |
| Nov 28, 2021 | FOR 89 – 83 CCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FOR | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-8 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 7-9 |
| Home | 18-2 | 6-7 |
| Away | 6-5 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 66.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 70.2 |
| Massey | 1.4 (#150) | -8.4 (#313) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.28 (#37) | -3.12 (#351) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.96 (#41) | -3.79 (#342) |
| RPI | 0.588 (#57) | 0.367 (#344) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FOR | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 39.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 45.8% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 31.7% | 12.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.8% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 18.9% |
Game Analysis
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