Betting Lines
| Spread | ODU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 125.5 Under |
| Money | ODU -225 GWEB +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ODU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ODU +1 | 87 | Won |
| Massey | ODU -6.3 (-5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.4 (-37.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ODU -5.7 (-4.7) | 130.5 (-43.5) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ODU -4.4 (-3.4) | 127.9 (-40.9) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ODU -5.0 (-4.0) | 131.5 (-44.5) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ODU -5.2 (-4.2) | 130.6 (-43.6) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ODU | GWEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-12 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 10-8 |
| Home | 12-4 | 8-5 |
| Away | 6-5 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.7 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 66.7 |
| Massey | 1.4 (#151) | 0.4 (#174) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.56 (#126) | -0.82 (#257) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.76 (#129) | -1.09 (#252) |
| RPI | 0.555 (#94) | 0.412 (#305) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ODU | GWEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 34.7% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 31.7% |
Game Analysis
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