Betting Lines
| Spread | IOWA -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | IOWA -190 WIS +158 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IOWA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +3 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | IOWA -11.2 (-14.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.3 (+13.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IOWA -7.5 (-10.5) | 139.9 (+13.1) | 71% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IOWA -7.8 (-10.8) | 138.7 (+14.3) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IOWA -6.3 (-9.3) | 139.6 (+13.4) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | IOWA -6.0 (-9.0) | 140.0 (+13.0) | 67% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | WIS 84 – 71 IOWA |
| Feb 8, 2025 | WIS 74 – 63 IOWA |
| Jan 4, 2025 | WIS 116 – 85 IOWA |
| Feb 17, 2024 | IOWA 88 – 86 WIS |
| Jan 3, 2024 | WIS 83 – 72 IOWA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IOWA | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 20-15 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 9-11 |
| Home | 14-3 | 11-6 |
| Away | 4-7 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.1 | 65.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.7 | 63.6 |
| Massey | 13.0 (#26) | 7.1 (#67) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.07 (#41) | 2.29 (#36) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.11 (#34) | 3.57 (#22) |
| RPI | 0.621 (#27) | 0.629 (#21) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IOWA | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 39.1 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.72 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 14.1% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 22.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 46.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 75.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.2% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
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