Betting Lines
| Spread | TA&M -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | TA&M -1400 ORST +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TA&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TA&M +18 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | TA&M -11.6 (+6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.1 (-13.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TA&M -10.3 (+7.7) | 139.9 (-13.9) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TA&M -14.0 (+4.0) | 134.8 (-8.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TA&M -9.0 (+9.0) | 140.0 (-14.0) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TA&M -9.5 (+8.5) | 141.1 (-15.1) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 19, 2021 | TA&M 83 – 73 ORST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TA&M | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 5-15 |
| Home | 15-1 | 10-7 |
| Away | 7-4 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 3-5 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.8 | 60.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 67.0 |
| Massey | 3.6 (#110) | -2.7 (#222) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.30 (#151) | -0.72 (#247) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.66 (#132) | -1.39 (#266) |
| RPI | 0.501 (#172) | 0.440 (#265) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TA&M | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 21.9% |
| ORB% | 35.1% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 33.4% | 30.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.3% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 38.4% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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