Betting Lines
| Spread | TA&M -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TA&M +10 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | TA&M -5.0 (-5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.3 (+22.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TA&M -5.4 (-4.6) | 136.0 (+20.0) | 31% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TA&M -4.8 (-5.2) | 136.0 (+20.0) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TA&M -5.2 (-4.8) | 136.2 (+19.8) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TA&M -6.8 (-3.2) | 135.8 (+20.2) | 29% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 11, 2022 | TA&M 72 – 54 ORST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORST | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-28 | 27-13 |
| Conference | 1-19 | 9-9 |
| Home | 3-13 | 16-4 |
| Away | 0-12 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L18 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 66.4 |
| Massey | -3.5 (#239) | 6.1 (#81) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.43 (#333) | 1.88 (#52) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.11 (#326) | 2.42 (#56) |
| RPI | 0.454 (#253) | 0.578 (#61) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORST | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 29.2% | 38.6% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.6% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 44.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 25.5% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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