Betting Lines
| Spread | WKU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | WKU -300 WRST +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WKU +4 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | WKU -11.8 (-7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.6 (-26.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WKU -9.7 (-5.7) | 148.4 (-24.4) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WKU -9.8 (-5.8) | 148.5 (-24.5) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WKU -9.8 (-5.8) | 148.8 (-24.8) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WKU -10.3 (-6.3) | 148.3 (-24.3) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 13, 2023 | WKU 91 – 84 WRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WKU | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 10-10 |
| Home | 9-5 | 9-6 |
| Away | 5-9 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 78.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 74.7 |
| Massey | 2.0 (#136) | -4.6 (#253) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.61 (#65) | -1.23 (#287) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.41 (#104) | -1.65 (#282) |
| RPI | 0.553 (#98) | 0.406 (#312) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WKU | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 49.2% |
| 3PT% | 43.0% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.50 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.4% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 21.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 14.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 78.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.6% | 18.6% |
Game Analysis
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