Betting Lines
| Spread | WRST -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 164.0 Over |
| Money | WRST -240 WKU +196 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WKU +7 | 175 | Lost |
| Massey | WRST -7.8 (-14.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.0 (+12.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WRST -5.5 (-12.5) | 158.2 (+16.8) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WRST -6.3 (-13.3) | 155.6 (+19.4) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WRST -6.7 (-13.7) | 155.7 (+19.3) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WRST -6.6 (-13.6) | 159.0 (+16.0) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 11, 2022 | WKU 64 – 60 WRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WRST | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 8-8 |
| Home | 9-7 | 12-2 |
| Away | 7-6 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 86.2 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.8 | 74.7 |
| Massey | 2.8 (#128) | -0.1 (#170) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.25 (#160) | -0.04 (#186) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.08 (#116) | -0.26 (#192) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#157) | 0.463 (#234) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WRST | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.7% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 25.8% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 39.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 13.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.9% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 33.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.1% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 28.0% |
Game Analysis
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