Betting Lines
| Spread | PEPP -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | PEPP -125 UCSB +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PEPP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCSB +3 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | PEPP -8.8 (-11.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.3 (-11.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PEPP -7.1 (-10.1) | 144.3 (-13.3) | 76% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PEPP -4.4 (-7.4) | 140.7 (-9.7) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PEPP -6.5 (-9.5) | 143.1 (-12.1) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PEPP -7.1 (-10.1) | 144.9 (-13.9) | 73% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2021 | UCSB 86 – 74 PEPP |
| Dec 19, 2020 | UCSB 75 – 63 PEPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PEPP | UCSB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 2-14 | 15-5 |
| Home | 8-8 | 12-3 |
| Away | 0-12 | 10-4 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.9 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.8 | 66.0 |
| Massey | 4.0 (#103) | 0.5 (#172) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.46 (#138) | 0.00 (#174) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.84 (#123) | -0.02 (#178) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#151) | 0.491 (#194) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PEPP | UCSB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 48.0% |
| 3PT% | 42.3% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.0% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 22.7% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 17.4% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.6% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 78.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 18.1% |
Game Analysis
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