Betting Lines
| Spread | MRSH -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | RMU +350 MRSH -350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRSH +9 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | MRSH -6.9 (-2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.5 (-9.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRSH -6.6 (-2.4) | 141.5 (-12.5) | 28% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRSH -7.7 (-1.3) | 142.9 (-13.9) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRSH -5.2 (-3.8) | 138.5 (-9.5) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRSH -5.6 (-3.4) | 140.0 (-11.0) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 20, 2020 | MRSH 85 – 71 RMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RMU | MRSH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 24-8 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 13-5 |
| Home | 11-4 | 15-2 |
| Away | 5-10 | 9-5 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 81.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.7 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -2.8 (#224) | 9.4 (#48) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.52 (#302) | 2.32 (#34) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.23 (#257) | 3.62 (#20) |
| RPI | 0.398 (#321) | 0.585 (#61) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RMU | MRSH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 42.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 15.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 37.6% |
| FT Rate | 14.2% | 10.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 44.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 15.3% |
Game Analysis
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