Betting Lines
| Spread | MRSH -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | MRSH -1800 RMU +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRSH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRSH +14 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | MRSH -24.4 (-10.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.7 (+10.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRSH -22.6 (-8.6) | 147.0 (+9.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRSH -21.6 (-7.6) | 144.9 (+11.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRSH -19.7 (-5.7) | 146.4 (+9.6) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 11, 2022 | MRSH 69 – 60 RMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRSH | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-1 |
| Massey | 8.9 (#52) | -11.0 (#301) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.48 (#70) | -1.41 (#254) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.78 (#56) | -2.46 (#268) |
| RPI | 0.557 (#90) | 0.447 (#213) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRSH | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.0% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 23.5% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.4% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 22.1% |
| ORB% | 22.9% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 57.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 13.1% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 65.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 13.6% |
Game Analysis
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