Betting Lines
| Spread | FGCU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | FGCU -275 MER +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FGCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FGCU +5 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | FGCU -12.9 (-7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.9 (-13.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FGCU -8.7 (-3.7) | 138.6 (-9.6) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FGCU -11.0 (-6.0) | 141.0 (-12.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FGCU -11.7 (-6.7) | 140.9 (-11.9) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FGCU -10.5 (-5.5) | 139.3 (-10.3) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 16, 2023 | MER 70 – 65 FGCU |
| Dec 19, 2021 | FGCU 67 – 55 MER |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FGCU | MER |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 6-12 |
| Home | 8-5 | 7-7 |
| Away | 6-9 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 67.3 |
| Massey | 4.8 (#91) | -2.8 (#225) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.57 (#70) | -1.12 (#273) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.05 (#75) | -1.26 (#259) |
| RPI | 0.604 (#46) | 0.414 (#303) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FGCU | MER |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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