Betting Lines
| Spread | ECU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | ECU -300 COPP +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ECU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ECU +9 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | ECU -8.1 (+0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.5 (-3.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ECU -6.7 (+2.3) | 152.8 (+6.2) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ECU -8.1 (+0.9) | 152.3 (+6.7) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ECU -5.6 (+3.4) | 155.5 (+3.5) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ECU -5.7 (+3.3) | 154.8 (+4.2) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 27, 2021 | ECU 70 – 68 COPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ECU | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 4-10 |
| Home | 10-6 | 4-6 |
| Away | 2-9 | 5-16 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 83.2 |
| Massey | -1.6 (#203) | -4.4 (#250) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.03 (#181) | 0.22 (#156) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.07 (#173) | -0.05 (#180) |
| RPI | 0.476 (#218) | 0.536 (#119) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ECU | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 33.9% | 22.2% |
| FT Rate | 27.7% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 63.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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