Betting Lines
| Spread | ECU -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ECU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ECU +2 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | ECU -14.3 (-12.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.0 (-6.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ECU -10.8 (-8.8) | 146.6 (-8.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ECU -10.5 (-8.5) | 145.7 (-7.7) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ECU -11.0 (-9.0) | 144.4 (-6.4) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ECU -11.3 (-9.3) | 143.7 (-5.7) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 11, 2022 | ECU 84 – 75 COPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ECU | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-15 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 6-11 | 6-8 |
| Home | 12-4 | 3-6 |
| Away | 2-7 | 4-16 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 74.7 |
| Massey | 0.6 (#162) | -6.8 (#295) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.11 (#166) | -2.02 (#320) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.28 (#160) | -2.92 (#316) |
| RPI | 0.487 (#193) | 0.385 (#313) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ECU | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 35.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 27.4% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 41.8% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 18.7% |
| FT Rate | 27.4% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 22.0% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 18.6% |
Game Analysis
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