Betting Lines
| Spread | AKR -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | AKR -1200 JKST +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AKR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AKR +13 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | AKR -14.4 (-1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.9 (+17.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AKR -12.0 (+1.0) | 139.0 (+18.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AKR -11.6 (+1.4) | 140.0 (+17.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AKR -10.9 (+2.1) | 140.9 (+16.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AKR -12.6 (+0.4) | 139.8 (+17.2) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2024 | AKR 68 – 50 JKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AKR | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 12-6 |
| Home | 15-1 | 7-2 |
| Away | 5-6 | 6-14 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 73.6 |
| Massey | 0.9 (#163) | -8.2 (#310) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.20 (#89) | -1.97 (#322) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.75 (#89) | -3.96 (#346) |
| RPI | 0.579 (#70) | 0.391 (#328) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AKR | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.5% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 29.4% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 13.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.9% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 23.5% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 13.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 57.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 76.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.2% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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