And Harry doesn't mind if he doesn't make the scene. "Sultans of Swing" - Dire Straits
Bob Carpenter Center · December 11, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread DEL -3.5 Home covered
O/U 137.5 Over
Money DEL -150 / SIE +163
Model Predictions
Spread Total DEL win
Actual DEL +11 139 Won
Massey DEL -3.0 (+8.0) — —
Massey Totals — 142.6 (-3.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 82% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 84% ✓
Baseline Plus ML DEL -3.6 (+7.4) 141.2 (-2.2) 67% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ DEL -4.4 (+6.6) 140.0 (-1.0) 69% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML DEL -3.7 (+7.3) 142.0 (-3.0) 64% ✓
Baseline ML DEL -3.0 (+8.0) 141.9 (-2.9) 65% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 14, 2021 DEL 83 – 63 SIE

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings DEL SIE
Overall 17-16 17-15
Conference 8-10 11-9
Home 10-5 8-5
Away 4-10 7-8
Neutral 3-1 2-2
Last 5 3-2 3-2
Streak L1 L6
Avg Pts For 69.4 68.6
Avg Pts Against 71.2 67.2
Massey -3.6 (#235) -1.3 (#201)
Bradley-Terry -0.24 (#200) -0.69 (#243)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.19 (#192) -0.64 (#224)
RPI 0.483 (#208) 0.447 (#255)
Shooting & Four Factors DEL SIE
FG% 43.1% 45.2%
3PT% 31.5% 38.0%
REB / G 34.9 34.6
OREB / G 10.2 9.6
AST / TO 1.15 0.88
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.4% 52.0%
TOV% 16.3% 22.1%
ORB% 28.8% 29.3%
FT Rate 23.6% 25.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.5% 50.9%
Opp TOV% 16.7% 19.4%
DRB% 71.9% 72.8%
Opp FT Rate 17.0% 21.0%

Game Analysis

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