What ever happened to Leon Trotsky? "No More Heroes" - The Stranglers
MVP Arena · November 14, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread DEL -3.0 Away covered
O/U 136.5 Over
Money SIE +140 / DEL -160
Model Predictions
Spread Total SIE win
Actual DEL +20 146 Lost
Massey SIE -10.0 (-30.0) — —
Massey Totals — 142.8 (+3.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 91% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 95% ✗
Baseline ML SIE -3.8 (-23.8) 137.7 (+8.3) 46% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML SIE -2.0 (-22.0) 143.3 (+2.7) 63% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 11, 2022 DEL 75 – 64 SIE

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SIE DEL
Overall 15-14 22-13
Conference 12-8 10-8
Home 8-5 9-5
Away 7-8 8-5
Neutral 0-1 5-3
Last 5 0-1 0-1
Streak L3 L1
Avg Pts For 66.3 70.7
Avg Pts Against 69.2 68.6
Massey -5.3 (#275) -3.3 (#243)
Bradley-Terry -0.40 (#224) -0.40 (#216)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.62 (#236) -0.60 (#229)
RPI — —
Shooting & Four Factors SIE DEL
FG% 34.0% 40.4%
3PT% 30.4% 27.3%
REB / G 32.0 31.0
OREB / G 9.0 13.0
AST / TO 0.73 0.64
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 41.0% 45.6%
TOV% 24.7% 20.2%
ORB% 25.7% 35.1%
FT Rate 12.0% 33.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.4% 72.2%
Opp TOV% 9.5% 14.6%
DRB% 67.6% 78.3%
Opp FT Rate 22.4% 27.8%

Game Analysis

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