Betting Lines
| Spread | WYO -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | WYO -200 LT +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WYO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WYO +27 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | LT -4.3 (+31.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.8 (+12.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 14% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LT -2.0 (+29.0) | 145.1 (+11.9) | 39% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LT -2.4 (+29.4) | 140.2 (+16.8) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LT -2.9 (+29.9) | 145.0 (+12.0) | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LT -3.4 (+30.4) | 146.5 (+10.5) | 38% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WYO | LT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 7-13 |
| Home | 7-8 | 9-6 |
| Away | 1-8 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-6 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.1 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 72.0 |
| Massey | -5.0 (#264) | 4.6 (#96) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.31 (#293) | 1.28 (#85) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.71 (#287) | 1.35 (#107) |
| RPI | 0.404 (#315) | 0.537 (#116) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WYO | LT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 38.7% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 55.3% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 22.5% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 24.6% |
| DRB% | 77.0% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 27.7% |
Game Analysis
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