Just tell me where it hurts and I'll tell you who to call. "Quinn the Eskimo" - Bob Dylan
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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49–10 on winners spread MAE 8.9 59 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Kansas City @ Omaha +2.1 135.7 60% 61–70 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Bucknell +8.3 143.7 83% 72–76 ✓
Lafayette @ American University +4.3 133.2 74% 69–71 ✓
Navy @ Boston University +1.4 132.4 57% 86–78 ✗
Army @ Colgate +7.7 144.0 80% 55–84 ✓
UT Martin @ Little Rock +2.6 134.9 59% 77–82 ✓
Evansville @ Murray State +4.6 131.7 73% 53–74 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Youngstown State +1.3 151.5 61% 67–72 ✓
Jacksonville @ North Alabama +6.1 141.3 76% 63–78 ✓
Niagara @ Saint Peter's +4.6 130.1 61% 78–68 ✗
Tulane @ East Carolina +2.3 146.9 64% 64–73 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ UAB +2.7 160.8 67% 80–89 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Quinnipiac +5.7 146.4 73% 70–79 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Manhattan +3.8 151.6 68% 74–90 ✓
Merrimack @ Marist +1.1 127.8 43% 75–53 ✗
Canisius @ Rider +7.4 139.2 77% 50–78 ✓
Fairfield @ Siena +7.0 141.4 79% 64–68 ✓
North Carolina Central @ South Carolina State +9.0 148.5 84% 71–87 ✓
Norfolk State @ Howard -4.2 150.5 32% 81–69 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Delaware State +10.1 144.0 86% 68–75 ✓
UTEP @ Sam Houston +1.8 146.3 55% 87–89 ✓
New Mexico State @ Louisiana Tech +3.7 134.0 64% 67–55 ✗
Liberty @ Middle Tennessee -0.9 140.0 51% 86–81 ✓
Michigan State @ Iowa -5.7 153.9 24% 91–84 ✓
Oakland @ Milwaukee +4.7 145.3 73% 72–64 ✗
Wright State @ Robert Morris +5.2 148.1 76% 62–83 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Cleveland State +4.6 136.8 68% 63–68 ✓
Queens University @ Lipscomb +10.6 147.2 86% 75–81 ✓
Wichita State @ Rice -0.3 145.9 46% 63–59 ✓
Morgan State @ Coppin State -1.8 147.4 37% 75–82 ✗
Jackson State @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff -9.7 146.5 15% 76–69 ✓
Utah Valley @ Abilene Christian -3.2 137.5 37% 73–60 ✓
Florida International @ Western Kentucky +9.3 141.9 82% 67–76 ✓
Old Dominion @ Texas State +5.7 141.2 65% 64–61 ✗
Alcorn State @ Mississippi Valley State -14.0 131.1 11% 72–64 ✓
Seattle U @ Southern Utah -5.7 134.6 27% 62–39 ✓
Charlotte @ North Texas +13.1 126.0 87% 64–75 ✓
Alabama State @ Southern +5.9 140.3 66% 66–65 ✗
UC Irvine @ UC Davis -8.0 136.2 24% 88–59 ✓
Utah Tech @ Grand Canyon +17.4 147.4 89% 68–90 ✓
Denver @ St. Thomas-Minnesota +10.6 144.8 83% 62–80 ✓
Lindenwood @ Tennessee State +5.2 148.1 75% 55–69 ✓
Valparaiso @ UIC +3.9 144.1 63% 67–50 ✗
Alabama A&M @ Grambling +6.8 134.7 80% 51–67 ✓
Hawai'i @ Cal State Bakersfield +0.3 135.2 54% 64–76 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ UC Riverside -0.2 156.4 60% 79–94 ✗
Cal State Fullerton @ Cal Poly +10.1 158.9 87% 61–100 ✓
Long Beach State @ UC San Diego +19.6 141.3 90% 63–70 ✓
Tarleton State @ California Baptist +9.2 128.6 83% 48–68 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ High Point +11.9 148.4 87% 64–85 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Drake +10.0 121.9 86% 53–70 ✓
Stony Brook @ Delaware +3.4 143.5 57% 76–80 ✓
Presbyterian @ Radford +4.1 130.7 66% 69–74 ✓
Illinois State @ Belmont +0.0 147.6 50% 63–76 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Hofstra +10.1 132.0 79% 55–77 ✓
Western Carolina @ Mercer +6.2 150.0 78% 66–67 ✓
Georgia State @ Marshall +4.8 147.4 73% 76–79 ✓
Charleston Southern @ UNC Asheville +7.2 145.9 74% 60–80 ✓
Ball State @ Miami (OH) +7.2 147.4 80% 66–79 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.