Betting Lines
| Spread | SEA -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | SUU +320 SEA -425 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SUU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEA +23 | 101 | Lost |
| Massey | SEA -6.0 (-17.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.8 (-37.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -4.1 (-18.9) | 138.7 (-37.7) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -4.8 (-18.2) | 139.5 (-38.5) | 27% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEA -5.7 (-17.3) | 134.6 (-33.6) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -4.5 (-18.5) | 137.5 (-36.5) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 19, 2025 | SEA 75 – 52 SUU |
| Feb 16, 2024 | SEA 78 – 68 SUU |
| Dec 2, 2023 | SEA 73 – 63 SUU |
| Jan 21, 2023 | SEA 81 – 60 SUU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SUU | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 8-8 |
| Home | 8-7 | 9-5 |
| Away | 3-11 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.8 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 67.6 |
| Massey | -8.4 (#301) | 0.9 (#145) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.14 (#273) | -0.74 (#237) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.39 (#271) | -0.58 (#209) |
| RPI | 0.440 (#300) | 0.470 (#242) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SUU | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 21.6% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 30.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
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