Betting Lines
| Spread | SEA -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | SEA -500 SUU +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEA +23 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | SEA -8.8 (+14.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.0 (-19.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -6.7 (+16.3) | 141.9 (-14.9) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -7.0 (+16.0) | 141.4 (-14.4) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEA -9.3 (+13.7) | 141.2 (-14.2) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -6.9 (+16.1) | 141.4 (-14.4) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2025 | SEA 62 – 39 SUU |
| Feb 16, 2024 | SEA 78 – 68 SUU |
| Dec 2, 2023 | SEA 73 – 63 SUU |
| Jan 21, 2023 | SEA 81 – 60 SUU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEA | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 4-12 |
| Home | 9-5 | 8-7 |
| Away | 4-11 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 66.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 75.3 |
| Massey | 0.6 (#156) | -4.6 (#244) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.50 (#220) | -0.73 (#233) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.26 (#192) | -0.91 (#233) |
| RPI | 0.483 (#205) | 0.457 (#253) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEA | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 33.2% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.1% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 75.8% | 65.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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