Betting Lines
| Spread | SEA -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | SUU +175 SEA -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SUU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEA +10 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | SEA -3.2 (-6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.4 (-5.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -2.4 (-7.6) | 146.7 (-0.7) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -2.3 (-7.7) | 149.1 (-3.1) | 43% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEA -2.5 (-7.5) | 147.6 (-1.6) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -1.8 (-8.2) | 145.6 (+0.4) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2025 | SEA 62 – 39 SUU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | SEA 75 – 52 SUU |
| Dec 2, 2023 | SEA 73 – 63 SUU |
| Jan 21, 2023 | SEA 81 – 60 SUU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SUU | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 23-14 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 11-9 |
| Home | 6-8 | 14-4 |
| Away | 3-13 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W1 | W4 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 73.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.8 | 67.4 |
| Massey | -3.1 (#224) | 3.5 (#119) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.83 (#256) | 0.25 (#151) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.68 (#227) | 0.68 (#129) |
| RPI | 0.450 (#266) | 0.505 (#165) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SUU | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 28.5% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 28.1% | 28.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 66.3% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
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