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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
23–9 on winners
spread MAE 7.9
32 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
+2.7 | 178.3 | 54% | 99–94 | ✗ |
|
|
-13.0 | 140.4 | 14% | 78–69 | ✓ |
|
|
-1.3 | 140.6 | 45% | 70–67 | ✓ |
|
|
+9.2 | 133.5 | 84% | 57–68 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.0 | 130.5 | 59% | 55–58 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.5 | 140.2 | 69% | 56–71 | ✓ |
|
|
+13.4 | 143.8 | 88% | 67–86 | ✓ |
|
|
+5.7 | 159.0 | 73% | 70–83 | ✓ |
|
|
+6.6 | 134.0 | 71% | 54–49 | ✗ |
|
|
-3.0 | 140.9 | 36% | 63–71 | ✗ |
|
|
+9.3 | 151.4 | 82% | 74–91 | ✓ |
|
|
+7.9 | 139.4 | 80% | 72–73 | ✓ |
|
|
+12.0 | 131.9 | 85% | 62–69 | ✓ |
|
|
-1.7 | 145.7 | 47% | 81–58 | ✓ |
|
|
-0.0 | 151.8 | 44% | 91–78 | ✓ |
|
|
+8.0 | 153.3 | 79% | 63–83 | ✓ |
|
|
+14.4 | 142.3 | 89% | 75–91 | ✓ |
|
|
-1.2 | 159.5 | 54% | 84–96 | ✗ |
|
|
+5.6 | 135.4 | 71% | 56–73 | ✓ |
|
|
-7.4 | 140.8 | 21% | 74–67 | ✓ |
|
|
+3.1 | 141.8 | 65% | 66–72 | ✓ |
|
|
-0.1 | 134.7 | 53% | 49–67 | ✗ |
|
|
-2.2 | 139.1 | 40% | 76–78 | ✗ |
|
|
+11.6 | 152.6 | 87% | 68–85 | ✓ |
|
|
+0.3 | 139.1 | 56% | 54–56 | ✓ |
|
|
+4.3 | 140.3 | 73% | 72–82 | ✓ |
|
|
-0.9 | 134.1 | 48% | 65–73 | ✗ |
|
|
+6.4 | 149.2 | 71% | 61–92 | ✓ |
|
|
+0.1 | 155.0 | 55% | 85–86 | ✓ |
|
|
+4.9 | 131.8 | 68% | 54–70 | ✓ |
|
|
+0.3 | 145.1 | 52% | 81–77 | ✗ |
|
|
-0.3 | 151.5 | 58% | 71–80 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.