Ich lieb dich nicht; Du liebst mich nicht. "Da da da" - Trio
Big 12 Conference · Fifth Third Arena · March 6, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread CIN -8.5 Away covered
O/U 138.5 Under
Money CIN -400 / KSU +300
Model Predictions
Spread Total CIN win
Actual KSU +5 103 Lost
Massey CIN -7.5 (-12.5)
Massey Totals 135.0 (-32.0)
Bradley-Terry 73%
Weighted B-T 76%
Efficiency Plus ML CIN -6.6 (-11.6) 134.0 (-31.0) 71%
Baseline Tuned ML CIN -5.3 (-10.3) 131.3 (-28.3) 70%
Baseline ML CIN -5.8 (-10.8) 133.6 (-30.6) 70%
Baseline Plus ML CIN -6.1 (-11.1) 134.4 (-31.4) 70%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 12, 2026 CIN 9162 KSU
Dec 31, 2024 KSU 7067 CIN
Mar 3, 2024 CIN 7472 KSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CIN KSU
Overall 19-16 16-17
Conference 7-13 9-11
Home 12-5 10-5
Away 4-9 3-9
Neutral 3-2 3-3
Last 5 2-3 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 71.2 70.8
Avg Pts Against 66.2 69.6
Massey 12.9 (#42) 8.6 (#66)
Bradley-Terry 1.71 (#59) 1.29 (#76)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.17 (#57) 1.68 (#75)
RPI 0.552 (#84) 0.530 (#121)
Shooting & Four Factors CIN KSU
FG% 45.5% 44.5%
3PT% 33.2% 34.2%
REB / G 34.5 34.0
OREB / G 11.1 10.4
AST / TO 1.38 1.33
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.8% 51.5%
TOV% 15.2% 17.5%
ORB% 32.6% 29.9%
FT Rate 16.0% 19.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.1% 49.1%
Opp TOV% 19.0% 18.7%
DRB% 70.3% 67.9%
Opp FT Rate 18.5% 20.8%

Game Analysis

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