Betting Lines
| Spread | CIN -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | KSU +150 CIN -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KSU +3 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | CIN -7.4 (+10.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.8 (-2.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CIN -4.0 (+7.0) | 137.7 (-0.7) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CIN -4.5 (+7.5) | 138.7 (-1.7) | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CIN -4.9 (+7.9) | 138.4 (-1.4) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CIN -5.3 (+8.3) | 140.1 (-3.1) | 40% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | CIN 91 – 62 KSU |
| Mar 6, 2025 | KSU 54 – 49 CIN |
| Mar 3, 2024 | CIN 74 – 72 KSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KSU | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 19-16 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 7-13 |
| Home | 10-5 | 12-5 |
| Away | 3-9 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 66.2 |
| Massey | 3.8 (#104) | 15.5 (#25) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.89 (#98) | 2.31 (#42) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.33 (#92) | 3.13 (#44) |
| RPI | 0.552 (#88) | 0.573 (#65) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KSU | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 48.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 38.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 1.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 55.8% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 14.2% |
| ORB% | 33.9% | 38.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 16.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 41.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 18.4% |
Game Analysis
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