Betting Lines
| Spread | CIN -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | CIN -275 KSU +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIN +2 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | CIN -6.8 (-4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.1 (+5.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CIN -5.6 (-3.6) | 140.1 (+5.9) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CIN -5.5 (-3.5) | 140.4 (+5.6) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CIN -5.4 (-3.4) | 141.4 (+4.6) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CIN -5.4 (-3.4) | 139.5 (+6.5) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | CIN 91 – 62 KSU |
| Mar 6, 2025 | KSU 54 – 49 CIN |
| Dec 31, 2024 | KSU 70 – 67 CIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIN | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-15 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 8-10 |
| Home | 16-5 | 14-3 |
| Away | 4-8 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 71.1 |
| Massey | 12.3 (#36) | 8.8 (#66) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.33 (#79) | 1.45 (#69) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.80 (#67) | 1.77 (#70) |
| RPI | 0.551 (#86) | 0.551 (#85) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIN | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 40.5 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 38.1% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 27.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 46.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 75.1% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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