Hmm, you're so pretty, not to talk to you would be a crime. "Baby, Baby" - The Vibrators
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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46–12 on winners spread MAE 8.6 58 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Virginia @ Boston College -7.9 128.6 24% 48–63 ✗
Bucknell @ Lehigh +3.3 137.0 69% 62–78 ✓
Temple @ Cincinnati +7.7 145.0 77% 83–88 ✓
South Florida @ UCF +11.4 143.3 85% 82–75 ✗
Colgate @ Lafayette -6.3 135.0 24% 73–69 ✓
Holy Cross @ Loyola Maryland +3.9 139.2 71% 68–90 ✓
Bradley @ Valparaiso -11.1 134.9 17% 76–66 ✓
Syracuse @ Clemson +5.6 145.8 75% 73–91 ✓
Maine @ New Hampshire +2.5 130.3 71% 62–74 ✓
Bryant @ NJIT -6.6 151.2 26% 79–78 ✓
Binghamton @ Vermont +14.1 138.4 88% 70–81 ✓
Navy @ American University -2.1 125.5 33% 70–54 ✓
Minnesota @ Maryland +14.6 136.5 90% 70–88 ✓
Vanderbilt @ LSU +0.4 139.4 52% 77–84 ✓
Kentucky @ Florida -0.2 144.2 37% 82–74 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ Davidson +5.2 136.7 68% 61–74 ✓
George Washington @ Rhode Island +1.2 144.0 60% 89–80 ✗
Duquesne @ La Salle -2.2 146.9 47% 91–74 ✓
Dayton @ Massachusetts -4.7 134.0 36% 72–54 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ Presbyterian -1.2 129.4 42% 59–57 ✓
Radford @ High Point -2.6 140.0 41% 64–69 ✗
Campbell @ Winthrop +2.7 138.9 69% 93–95 ✓
Samford @ Chattanooga +0.3 148.8 50% 75–70 ✗
The Citadel @ East Tennessee State +5.6 140.4 72% 70–78 ✓
Mercer @ Furman +12.9 144.9 87% 67–70 ✓
Western Carolina @ UNC Greensboro +9.9 143.0 86% 52–71 ✓
Wofford @ VMI -6.9 141.9 32% 83–87 ✗
Southern Miss @ Old Dominion +0.2 138.2 63% 64–69 ✓
Marshall @ James Madison +1.7 157.8 65% 92–83 ✗
Coastal Carolina @ Georgia Southern +4.6 141.7 72% 68–76 ✓
App State @ Georgia State +0.4 132.7 54% 78–52 ✗
Liberty @ Queens University -6.5 145.0 26% 85–77 ✓
Austin Peay @ Stetson +9.5 139.7 83% 51–76 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ North Florida +0.3 159.5 52% 64–77 ✓
Lipscomb @ Florida Gulf Coast +3.3 146.4 67% 73–64 ✗
Kennesaw State @ North Alabama -1.7 150.9 38% 79–66 ✓
Indiana State @ Belmont +3.3 156.7 62% 88–89 ✓
Troy @ UL Monroe -6.3 134.4 24% 82–78 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Southern Illinois +5.3 130.4 76% 63–86 ✓
UIC @ Evansville -2.4 142.0 40% 82–76 ✓
Illinois State @ Drake +14.1 140.7 89% 51–82 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ Abilene Christian -0.2 146.2 45% 91–87 ✓
South Alabama @ Texas State -1.9 132.5 34% 76–67 ✓
Jacksonville State @ Central Arkansas -3.0 144.3 36% 101–71 ✓
Butler @ DePaul +0.1 139.5 47% 59–58 ✗
Arkansas State @ Louisiana +10.7 137.5 84% 74–85 ✓
Morehead State @ Eastern Illinois -4.7 133.5 25% 69–63 ✓
Tulane @ Houston +17.3 144.4 87% 59–89 ✓
Alabama @ South Carolina -12.1 153.5 15% 78–76 ✓
Wake Forest @ NC State +5.8 154.7 76% 74–90 ✓
North Carolina @ Notre Dame -6.5 146.2 21% 63–59 ✓
St. John's @ Georgetown -3.6 157.6 33% 79–70 ✓
Iowa @ Wisconsin +1.0 136.1 55% 52–64 ✓
Ole Miss @ Auburn +11.7 137.9 87% 74–78 ✓
Fordham @ Loyola Chicago -1.0 138.0 41% 71–69 ✓
New Mexico @ Boise State +6.5 143.4 79% 77–82 ✓
Western Illinois @ North Dakota +1.7 147.1 58% 81–70 ✗
Penn State @ Ohio State +3.8 143.1 60% 75–71 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.