Hallelujah, here she comes. "Skateaway" - Dire Straits
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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44–14 on winners spread MAE 8.7 58 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Virginia @ Boston College -8.5 132.0 18% 48–63 ✗
Bucknell @ Lehigh +3.0 138.9 63% 62–78 ✓
Temple @ Cincinnati +8.2 146.5 79% 83–88 ✓
South Florida @ UCF +11.5 144.2 86% 82–75 ✗
Colgate @ Lafayette -6.1 135.8 25% 73–69 ✓
Holy Cross @ Loyola Maryland +2.5 140.3 62% 68–90 ✓
Bradley @ Valparaiso -11.5 138.5 15% 76–66 ✓
Syracuse @ Clemson +5.9 145.8 72% 73–91 ✓
Maine @ New Hampshire +1.4 131.5 58% 62–74 ✓
Bryant @ NJIT -5.7 151.4 26% 79–78 ✓
Binghamton @ Vermont +13.1 142.0 88% 70–81 ✓
Navy @ American University -1.0 130.2 43% 70–54 ✓
Minnesota @ Maryland +16.6 133.3 90% 70–88 ✓
Vanderbilt @ LSU +0.3 139.1 49% 77–84 ✓
Kentucky @ Florida +1.5 145.6 56% 82–74 ✗
St. Bonaventure @ Davidson +4.5 138.3 68% 61–74 ✓
George Washington @ Rhode Island +1.9 145.3 61% 89–80 ✗
Duquesne @ La Salle -1.6 144.4 41% 91–74 ✓
Dayton @ Massachusetts -3.5 136.4 33% 72–54 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ Presbyterian -3.1 130.9 36% 59–57 ✓
Radford @ High Point -3.4 141.4 34% 64–69 ✗
Campbell @ Winthrop +2.3 142.1 63% 93–95 ✓
Samford @ Chattanooga -0.0 150.3 49% 75–70 ✓
The Citadel @ East Tennessee State +5.7 139.6 74% 70–78 ✓
Mercer @ Furman +13.4 144.8 88% 67–70 ✓
Western Carolina @ UNC Greensboro +11.3 144.7 85% 52–71 ✓
Wofford @ VMI -6.3 145.0 24% 83–87 ✗
Southern Miss @ Old Dominion -1.2 137.6 46% 64–69 ✗
Marshall @ James Madison +2.7 155.9 61% 92–83 ✗
Coastal Carolina @ Georgia Southern +6.5 142.9 74% 68–76 ✓
App State @ Georgia State +0.2 132.1 49% 78–52 ✗
Liberty @ Queens University -6.2 148.0 28% 85–77 ✓
Austin Peay @ Stetson +10.9 141.9 87% 51–76 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ North Florida +0.3 156.6 50% 64–77 ✓
Lipscomb @ Florida Gulf Coast +3.0 147.6 66% 73–64 ✗
Kennesaw State @ North Alabama -0.8 152.5 47% 79–66 ✓
Indiana State @ Belmont +1.3 153.9 55% 88–89 ✓
Troy @ UL Monroe -5.5 135.6 29% 82–78 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Southern Illinois +5.2 131.2 75% 63–86 ✓
UIC @ Evansville -2.1 139.9 40% 82–76 ✓
Illinois State @ Drake +16.2 142.5 89% 51–82 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ Abilene Christian +0.4 150.3 51% 91–87 ✗
South Alabama @ Texas State -3.1 132.9 37% 76–67 ✓
Jacksonville State @ Central Arkansas -1.2 146.1 46% 101–71 ✓
Butler @ DePaul +0.2 138.5 49% 59–58 ✗
Arkansas State @ Louisiana +11.8 141.1 87% 74–85 ✓
Morehead State @ Eastern Illinois -3.8 134.5 29% 69–63 ✓
Tulane @ Houston +16.0 147.7 88% 59–89 ✓
Alabama @ South Carolina -15.5 150.5 14% 78–76 ✓
Wake Forest @ NC State +6.7 157.4 76% 74–90 ✓
North Carolina @ Notre Dame -6.2 148.0 25% 63–59 ✓
St. John's @ Georgetown -2.8 155.9 36% 79–70 ✓
Iowa @ Wisconsin +1.5 141.3 58% 52–64 ✓
Ole Miss @ Auburn +11.1 137.3 87% 74–78 ✓
Fordham @ Loyola Chicago -3.1 138.5 33% 71–69 ✓
New Mexico @ Boise State +5.7 145.3 74% 77–82 ✓
Western Illinois @ North Dakota +3.0 145.3 68% 81–70 ✗
Penn State @ Ohio State +2.2 146.1 60% 75–71 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.