Everybody's in despair, every girl and boy. "Quinn the Eskimo" - Bob Dylan
← All models

Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
42–24 on winners spread MAE 9.8 66 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Oregon @ California -1.3 147.0 48% 64–69 ✗
Texas Southern @ Mississippi Valley State -12.3 127.2 12% 73–52 ✓
Elon @ Hofstra +13.0 140.9 88% 64–87 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Lamar +2.0 145.7 63% 75–61 ✗
Pennsylvania @ Harvard +3.0 141.8 68% 70–74 ✓
Louisiana @ Southern Miss -2.2 142.0 43% 71–82 ✗
Coastal Carolina @ Old Dominion +3.8 145.1 67% 59–75 ✓
Bryant @ Vermont +7.7 140.4 79% 48–65 ✓
Queens University @ Florida Gulf Coast +3.2 148.1 67% 81–90 ✓
Boise State @ Wyoming -7.6 143.6 25% 92–72 ✓
Western Kentucky @ Middle Tennessee -4.8 147.1 30% 72–74 ✗
Florida State @ Clemson +9.2 149.1 81% 63–74 ✓
Villanova @ UConn +10.7 139.8 86% 54–78 ✓
Texas A&M @ Tennessee +12.5 146.1 88% 51–86 ✓
Washington State @ Arizona State -4.5 139.2 33% 61–73 ✗
Colorado State @ UNLV -0.6 135.5 59% 60–66 ✗
Charlotte @ Tulsa -2.5 136.0 43% 67–69 ✗
UIC @ Indiana State +14.5 149.8 88% 73–88 ✓
Illinois State @ Bradley +11.6 137.1 86% 45–48 ✓
Omaha @ Kansas City +2.8 146.0 62% 58–63 ✓
Sacramento State @ Montana State +6.8 134.3 72% 66–63 ✗
Weber State @ Idaho State -4.1 137.8 33% 62–80 ✗
Eastern Washington @ Northern Colorado +1.0 158.9 52% 85–76 ✗
Butler @ Seton Hall +3.6 142.5 73% 64–76 ✓
Mississippi State @ LSU -0.2 146.2 45% 87–67 ✓
Utah @ Colorado +4.0 155.9 72% 65–89 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ New Mexico State -11.1 132.4 19% 67–58 ✓
Sam Houston @ UTEP +0.5 141.2 55% 65–54 ✗
Cal State Northridge @ Cal State Fullerton +0.5 142.0 53% 65–60 ✗
Portland State @ Montana +6.6 146.1 78% 73–82 ✓
San Diego @ Saint Mary's +19.3 138.7 90% 62–88 ✓
San Diego State @ Fresno State -11.2 137.8 16% 73–41 ✓
USC @ UCLA +3.5 133.8 66% 62–56 ✗
Santa Clara @ Gonzaga +11.6 151.6 86% 81–94 ✓
Pepperdine @ San Francisco +13.5 147.3 88% 68–92 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ Pacific -10.0 144.8 19% 86–63 ✓
UC Riverside @ Cal Poly -5.8 132.6 24% 84–78 ✓
UC Davis @ Cal State Bakersfield -0.3 135.7 53% 56–75 ✗
Long Beach State @ Hawai'i +2.1 153.4 62% 65–73 ✓
Creighton @ St. John's -0.9 152.4 49% 66–80 ✗
SMU @ South Florida -0.5 143.3 57% 68–79 ✗
Maryland @ Rutgers +1.4 129.5 46% 63–46 ✗
Rhode Island @ La Salle +0.8 151.1 62% 61–84 ✓
Long Island University @ Wagner +6.5 132.0 73% 57–72 ✓
Purdue @ Michigan -12.5 154.8 15% 84–76 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ Memphis -1.4 161.4 47% 74–78 ✗
Southern Illinois @ Evansville -2.3 144.1 42% 65–53 ✓
Holy Cross @ Navy +5.2 133.0 73% 66–76 ✓
American University @ Colgate +11.1 132.6 84% 66–64 ✗
Loyola Maryland @ Boston University +7.0 130.8 74% 79–82 ✓
Army @ Bucknell +4.6 125.2 62% 41–54 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Rider +0.6 152.1 55% 78–88 ✓
Iona @ Mount St. Mary's +0.3 145.2 51% 65–72 ✓
Siena @ Fairfield +16.8 140.3 90% 64–88 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Northern Kentucky +17.6 144.4 90% 64–80 ✓
Cleveland State @ Robert Morris -2.2 148.8 41% 73–71 ✓
Marist @ Saint Peter's +2.0 125.0 57% 60–69 ✓
Youngstown State @ Green Bay -2.1 143.8 43% 71–59 ✓
Wright State @ Oakland +6.6 159.1 73% 96–75 ✗
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Milwaukee -2.3 154.8 45% 88–96 ✗
Temple @ Wichita State +5.9 145.6 75% 72–66 ✗
UAB @ Tulane +2.1 160.2 59% 78–67 ✗
Ohio State @ Michigan State +8.5 140.3 78% 60–57 ✗
Saint Joseph's @ VCU +5.7 140.8 73% 69–73 ✓
Xavier @ Marquette +9.5 152.2 83% 64–88 ✓
Minnesota @ Nebraska +6.7 147.4 79% 55–73 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.