Betting Lines
| Spread | UCR -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | CP +300 UCR -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCR +6 | 162 | Lost |
| Massey | UCR -5.5 (-0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.5 (+31.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCR -5.9 (-0.1) | 132.1 (+29.9) | 23% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCR -8.2 (+2.2) | 133.5 (+28.5) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCR -6.0 (-0.0) | 134.1 (+27.9) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCR -5.8 (-0.2) | 132.6 (+29.4) | 24% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | CP 94 – 87 UCR |
| Dec 7, 2025 | UCR 88 – 84 CP |
| Mar 14, 2025 | CP 96 – 83 UCR |
| Feb 22, 2025 | CP 112 – 100 UCR |
| Feb 2, 2025 | UCR 80 – 62 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CP | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-28 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 0-20 | 10-10 |
| Home | 3-11 | 10-5 |
| Away | 0-16 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L20 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.1 | 69.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 72.4 |
| Massey | -12.3 (#336) | -3.5 (#228) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.25 (#340) | -0.49 (#223) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.79 (#340) | -0.57 (#224) |
| RPI | 0.379 (#354) | 0.472 (#233) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CP | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.0% | 38.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.4% | 45.3% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 24.9% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 67.0% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.6% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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