Betting Lines
| Spread | SMC -23.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | SMC -10000 USD +1600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SMC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SMC +26 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | SMC -22.2 (+3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.7 (+14.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SMC -19.6 (+6.4) | 137.5 (+12.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SMC -21.5 (+4.5) | 137.7 (+12.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SMC -16.7 (+9.3) | 137.7 (+12.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SMC -19.3 (+6.7) | 138.7 (+11.3) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | SMC 87 – 60 USD |
| Jan 12, 2025 | SMC 103 – 56 USD |
| Jan 5, 2024 | SMC 81 – 70 USD |
| Feb 17, 2023 | SMC 62 – 59 USD |
| Dec 30, 2022 | SMC 85 – 58 USD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SMC | USD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 15-1 | 7-9 |
| Home | 14-4 | 12-6 |
| Away | 9-0 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.0 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 60.2 | 78.1 |
| Massey | 14.6 (#20) | -4.3 (#252) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.96 (#42) | 0.11 (#160) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.28 (#45) | -0.02 (#169) |
| RPI | 0.592 (#33) | 0.494 (#187) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SMC | USD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 39.3 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.54 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 39.1% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.6% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 77.3% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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