Betting Lines
| Spread | SMC -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | USD +1100 SMC -2500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SMC +47 | 159 | Lost |
| Massey | SMC -14.4 (-32.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.4 (+23.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SMC -15.3 (-31.7) | 135.1 (+23.9) | 13% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SMC -15.9 (-31.1) | 135.2 (+23.8) | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SMC -14.6 (-32.4) | 134.8 (+24.2) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SMC -14.2 (-32.8) | 135.7 (+23.3) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | SMC 87 – 60 USD |
| Feb 25, 2024 | SMC 88 – 62 USD |
| Jan 5, 2024 | SMC 81 – 70 USD |
| Feb 17, 2023 | SMC 62 – 59 USD |
| Dec 30, 2022 | SMC 85 – 58 USD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USD | SMC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-27 | 29-6 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 17-1 |
| Home | 5-13 | 16-1 |
| Away | 0-12 | 9-1 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.2 | 61.8 |
| Massey | -7.1 (#285) | 11.1 (#50) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.41 (#340) | 2.22 (#47) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.55 (#323) | 3.18 (#37) |
| RPI | 0.393 (#339) | 0.596 (#40) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USD | SMC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 27.8% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 41.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 15.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 1.61 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.5% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 41.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.4% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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