Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | MSM +100 IONA -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MSM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MSM +7 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | MSM -1.0 (+6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.7 (-9.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MSM -0.1 (+6.9) | 144.5 (-7.5) | 50% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -0.2 (+7.2) | 142.6 (-5.6) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MSM -0.8 (+6.2) | 143.4 (-6.4) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MSM -0.3 (+6.7) | 145.2 (-8.2) | 51% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | MSM 83 – 76 IONA |
| Dec 30, 2025 | MSM 66 – 59 IONA |
| Mar 15, 2025 | MSM 63 – 49 IONA |
| Feb 7, 2025 | IONA 70 – 67 MSM |
| Jan 14, 2024 | IONA 87 – 70 MSM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MSM | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 10-10 |
| Home | 8-5 | 9-5 |
| Away | 5-13 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 70.6 |
| Massey | -3.6 (#232) | -1.3 (#182) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.43 (#302) | -0.50 (#224) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.43 (#289) | -0.44 (#211) |
| RPI | 0.430 (#310) | 0.492 (#190) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MSM | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.37 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 22.9% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 30.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.