Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | IONA -225 MSM +185 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IONA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MSM +14 | 112 | Lost |
| Massey | IONA -0.1 (-14.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.1 (-27.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -0.4 (-14.4) | 136.7 (-24.7) | 55% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -0.6 (-14.6) | 136.7 (-24.7) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -0.5 (-14.5) | 136.2 (-24.2) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -0.5 (-14.5) | 137.3 (-25.3) | 51% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | MSM 83 – 76 IONA |
| Dec 30, 2025 | MSM 66 – 59 IONA |
| Feb 7, 2025 | IONA 70 – 67 MSM |
| Feb 25, 2024 | MSM 72 – 65 IONA |
| Jan 14, 2024 | IONA 87 – 70 MSM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IONA | MSM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 12-8 |
| Home | 7-7 | 10-4 |
| Away | 7-7 | 9-8 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 69.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 70.7 |
| Massey | -5.5 (#255) | -5.6 (#256) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.65 (#229) | -0.18 (#181) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.97 (#242) | -0.60 (#213) |
| RPI | 0.483 (#218) | 0.518 (#143) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IONA | MSM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 14.5 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 39.1% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.6% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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