You'll work harder with a gun in your back, for a bowl of rice a day. "Holiday In Cambodia" - The Dead Kennedys
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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46–14 on winners spread MAE 8.5 60 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Memphis @ Temple -6.7 151.7 28% 84–77 ✓
William & Mary @ Monmouth +8.8 143.0 84% 64–68 ✓
Stony Brook @ Elon -3.0 144.9 40% 79–64 ✓
Northeastern @ Campbell -1.7 135.5 43% 86–76 ✓
Hofstra @ Hampton -12.6 143.9 16% 63–59 ✓
Drexel @ UNC Wilmington +1.8 136.5 64% 56–75 ✓
Delaware @ Towson +3.4 132.0 65% 74–62 ✗
Iowa @ Penn State +0.4 158.1 53% 79–89 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Quinnipiac +5.5 135.5 75% 73–84 ✓
Manhattan @ Mount St. Mary's +8.0 141.4 78% 78–82 ✓
Marist @ Siena -8.8 125.7 18% 67–51 ✓
Iona @ Niagara -0.7 146.1 40% 74–71 ✓
Rider @ Fairfield +5.0 149.5 67% 67–84 ✓
Merrimack @ Long Island University -10.2 136.6 16% 82–79 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Central Connecticut +5.3 142.9 73% 70–77 ✓
Wagner @ Fairleigh Dickinson +0.1 138.5 44% 66–62 ✗
Le Moyne @ Stonehill -4.3 141.5 30% 88–57 ✓
Samford @ UNC Greensboro +0.1 154.1 48% 78–69 ✗
Green Bay @ Robert Morris +0.9 139.2 59% 81–76 ✗
Oakland @ Northern Kentucky +0.2 144.5 53% 89–99 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Wright State +13.6 157.8 89% 85–92 ✓
Vermont @ NJIT -12.3 133.5 17% 61–63 ✗
UMass Lowell @ UMBC -7.2 158.2 21% 93–80 ✓
New Hampshire @ Bryant +3.2 157.1 64% 66–85 ✓
North Alabama @ North Florida +3.0 153.1 60% 79–74 ✗
Central Arkansas @ Jacksonville +7.7 144.7 79% 55–59 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Liberty +11.3 131.8 84% 53–88 ✓
Sam Houston @ Jacksonville State +2.5 130.4 55% 68–79 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Stephen F. Austin +12.7 148.9 87% 84–92 ✓
Arizona @ Utah -3.6 159.7 32% 105–99 ✓
Arizona State @ Colorado +11.7 147.0 85% 70–82 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Charleston +17.9 155.4 88% 58–80 ✓
Denver @ South Dakota -4.4 160.6 38% 86–92 ✗
Omaha @ North Dakota +2.1 144.6 62% 78–99 ✓
Oral Roberts @ St. Thomas-Minnesota +5.5 137.2 75% 63–85 ✓
Kansas City @ North Dakota State +2.0 142.5 60% 78–82 ✓
Queens University @ Lipscomb +8.1 163.6 80% 88–90 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Austin Peay +2.0 153.6 66% 69–85 ✓
Tarleton State @ Utah Valley +1.6 136.7 48% 72–61 ✗
Montana State @ Northern Colorado +3.9 151.9 62% 70–73 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Southeast Missouri State -0.1 135.2 41% 69–88 ✗
Little Rock @ Western Illinois +3.7 139.1 60% 63–60 ✗
Tennessee State @ Lindenwood -6.6 137.6 25% 65–55 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ Southern Indiana +0.5 133.7 52% 81–71 ✗
Florida Atlantic @ UAB -5.2 152.9 34% 73–76 ✗
SIU Edwardsville @ Morehead State +10.5 132.7 84% 68–79 ✓
Southern Utah @ Utah Tech -2.4 148.8 47% 68–70 ✗
Cal State Fullerton @ UC Davis +5.3 131.1 73% 58–71 ✓
Portland State @ Weber State +8.8 139.9 82% 72–84 ✓
Montana @ Northern Arizona -6.0 138.7 28% 94–66 ✓
Sacramento State @ Idaho State +4.2 127.2 65% 40–68 ✓
Washington State @ Oregon State -8.1 141.4 21% 64–58 ✓
Washington @ Oregon +4.3 157.2 75% 80–85 ✓
UT Arlington @ California Baptist +3.1 135.8 69% 63–64 ✓
Abilene Christian @ Seattle U +9.6 146.9 84% 52–75 ✓
Cal Poly @ Cal State Northridge +8.4 138.5 82% 65–78 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ UC Riverside +3.7 133.3 72% 63–65 ✓
UC Irvine @ UC Santa Barbara -2.5 141.5 34% 76–61 ✓
San Francisco @ Pepperdine -8.9 142.1 21% 80–74 ✓
UC San Diego @ Hawai'i -1.6 137.7 45% 86–94 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.